Remaining Unbeaten Teams, Week 10

All 5 undefeated teams won again in Week 10. The table below illustrates probabilities of maintaining the unbeaten records listed in the column headers.

Games involving an unbeaten team in Week 11:

Western Michigan at Kent State, Tuesday 7:30PM ET

Mississippi State at Alabama, Saturday Noon ET

Pitt at Clemson, Saturday 3:30PM ET

USC at Washington, Saturday 7:30PM ET

Michigan at Iowa, Saturday 8PM ET

Team 10-0 11-0  12-0
Alabama 99.5% 99.5% 94.7%
Clemson 98.1% 96.2% 94.1%
Western Michigan 87.6% 85.9% 58.8%
Washington 67.6% 59.5% 43.7%
Michigan 93.8% 92.8% 27.3%
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Remaining Unbeaten Teams, Week 9

Week 8 knocked out several unbeaten teams, so we are down to just 5. The table below illustrates probabilities of maintaining the unbeaten records listed in the column headers.

Games involving an unbeaten team in Week 10:

Western Michigan at Ball State, Tuesday(!) 8PM ET

Maryland at Michigan, Saturday 3:30PM ET

Alabama at LSU, Saturday 8PM ET

Syracuse at Clemson, Saturday 3:30PM ET

Washington at California, Saturday 10:30PM ET

Team 9-0 10-0 11-0  12-0
Clemson 99.7% 97.5% 95.8% 94.3%
Alabama 75.6% 75.3% 75.3% 72.2%
Western Michigan 81.4% 71.5% 70.0% 51.0%
Washington 78.5% 52.8% 45.0% 31.1%
Michigan 98.6% 91.4% 90.4% 26.0%

Remaining Unbeaten Teams, Week 8

There are 9 unbeaten teams this week. The table below illustrates probabilities of maintaining the unbeaten records listed in the column headers (note that teams who are already 7-0 or 8-0 show a 100% probability in the 7-0  and 8-0 columns).

Games involving an unbeaten team in Week 9 (all road games!):

Michigan at Michigan State, Noon ET Saturday

West Virginia at Oklahoma State, Noon ET Saturday

Baylor at Texas, 3:30PM ET Saturday

Washington at Utah, 3:30PM ET Saturday

Nebraska at Wisconsin, 7PM ET Saturday

Boise State at Wyoming, 7PM ET Saturday

Clemson at Florida State, 8PM ET Saturday

Bye Week: Alabama, Western Michigan

Team 7-0 8-0 9-0 10-0 11-0  12-0
Alabama 100% 100% 82.4% 82.3% 82.2% 79.9%
Clemson 100% 66.7% 66.4% 64.3% 62.5% 61.9%
Boise State 100% 84.4% 80.6% 65.5% 63.5% 52.5%
Western Michigan 100% 100% 80.2% 71.5% 70.5% 42.4%
Michigan 100% 91.0% 89.4% 82.8% 82.0% 26.5%
Washington 100% 54.8% 40.5% 26.4% 21.7% 14.6%
Baylor 70.6% 56.8% 18.3% 16.1% 13.8% 8.7%
West Virginia 23.9% 23.2% 10.6% 3.3% 2.7% 1.0%
Nebraska 100% 35.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%

Remaining Unbeaten Teams, Week 7

There remain 11 unbeaten teams this week after no losses in this group in Week 6. The table below illustrates probabilities of maintaining the unbeaten records listed in the column headers (note that teams who are already 6-0 or 7-0 show a 100% probability in the 6-0  and 7-0 columns).

Games between unbeaten teams in Week 8:

Texas A&M at Alabama, 3:30PM ET Saturday

Games involving an unbeaten team in Week 8:

BYU at Boise State, 10:15PM ET Thursday

Illinois at Michigan, 3:30PM ET Saturday

TCU at West Virginia, 3:30PM ET Saturday

Purdue at Nebraska, 3:30PM ET Saturday

Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan, 3:30PM ET Saturday

Oregon State at Washington, 6:30PM ET, Saturday

Ohio State at Penn State, 8PM ET Saturday

Bye Week: Clemson, Baylor

Team 6-0 7-0 8-0 9-0 10-0 11-0  12-0
Clemson 100% 100% 57.0% 56.2% 52.8% 49.3% 47.5%
Alabama 100% 100% 84.0% 51.8% 50.5% 50.4% 46.7%
Ohio State 100% 78.7% 76.3% 73.8% 67.0% 55.0% 38.9%
Boise State 100% 65.9% 51.4% 44.4% 30.3% 27.1% 18.7%
Michigan 100% 99.3% 74.2% 70.8% 58.6% 56.6% 16.6%
Western Michigan 100% 100% 85.8% 43.8% 30.0% 26.8% 13.5%
Washington 100% 94.4% 43.3% 29.6% 18.9% 14.7% 9.5%
Texas A&M 100% 16.0% 15.9% 12.2% 9.9% 9.7% 5.6%
Baylor 100% 58.2% 41.2% 9.1% 7.7% 6.1% 4.0%
Nebraska 100% 84.7% 31.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
West Virginia 43.6% 8.0% 7.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Remaining Unbeaten Teams, Week 6

Only 11 unbeaten teams remaining. The table below illustrates probabilities of maintaining the unbeaten records listed in the column headers (note that teams who are already 5-0 or 6-0 show a 100% probability in the 5-0  and 6-0 columns).

No games between two unbeaten teams on the schedule for Week 7.

Team 5-0 6-0 7-0 8-0 9-0 10-0 11-0  12-0
Clemson 100% 100% 97.1% 56.0% 55.6% 52.7% 50.3% 48.5%
Alabama 100% 100% 62.2% 52.6% 33.8% 32.7% 32.7% 30.3%
Ohio State 100% 86.7% 68.1% 66.0% 63.0% 53.2% 41.8% 30.2%
Boise State 100% 87.0% 59.7% 46.7% 40.6% 24.8% 22.5% 14.9%
Michigan 100% 100% 99.5% 68.2% 61.2% 48.7% 46.3% 12.8%
Washington 100% 100% 93.2% 43.6% 29.8% 19.1% 14.3% 9.1%
Western Michigan 100% 100% 49.2% 42.3% 22.1% 14.3% 12.5% 6.0%
Baylor 100% 97.6% 58.8% 42.1% 11.0% 9.3% 7.3% 4.9%
Texas A&M 100% 100% 15.3% 15.2% 10.9% 8.4% 8.2% 4.8%
Nebraska 100% 48.6% 42.3% 16.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
West Virginia 52.1% 22.4% 4.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Remaining Unbeaten Teams, Week 5

Only 16 unbeaten teams remaining. The table below illustrates probabilities of maintaining the unbeaten records listed in the column headers (note that teams who are already 5-0 show a 100% probability in the 5-0 column)

Only one game this week features two unbeaten teams:

Tennessee at Texas A&M, Saturday 3:30PM ET

Team 5-0 6-0 7-0 8-0 9-0 10-0 11-0  12-0
Clemson 100% 94.9% 92.2% 47.5% 47.0% 43.9% 41.6% 39.4%
Ohio State 97.7% 81.2% 68.3% 66.5% 64.6% 54.5% 38.1% 28.5%
Alabama 100% 85.8% 55.9% 47.1% 26.6% 25.6% 25.6% 23.3%
Boise State 77.9% 67.0% 54.1% 44.5% 37.6% 26.3% 24.1% 17.6%
Houston 100% 60.3% 53.5% 44.0% 34.4% 31.2% 20.6% 12.5%
Tennessee 100% 40.4% 14.1% 10.9% 10.8% 10.3% 9.5% 8.2%
Michigan 100% 90.8% 89.5% 50.4% 44.4% 34.1% 32.5% 8.2%
Texas A&M 100% 59.6% 9.3% 9.3% 6.5% 5.2% 5.2% 2.6%
Baylor 100% 96.8% 51.8% 33.4% 5.9% 4.5% 3.2% 1.9%
Western Michigan 100% 40.0% 17.3% 14.9% 6.4% 3.9% 3.0% 1.5%
Washington 100% 29.4% 27.2% 10.3% 6.9% 3.8% 2.5% 1.5%
Miami FL 33.1% 20.2% 10.4% 3.5% 2.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.9%
Air Force 50.7% 34.2% 19.9% 10.3% 6.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Maryland 38.3% 33.3% 13.8% 7.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
West Virginia 50.9% 21.9% 3.8% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.05%
Nebraska 100% 42.8% 37.1% 9.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.03%

Remaining Unbeaten Teams, Week 4

Only 27 unbeaten teams remain. The table below shows the probability of each team remaining unbeaten through the regular season as well as remaining games against other unbeaten teams. This week there are 4 games between unbeaten teams:

Stanford at Washington, Friday 9PM ET

Wisconsin at Michigan, Saturday 3:30PM ET

Navy at Air Force, Saturday 3:30PM ET

Louisville at Clemson, Saturday 8PM ET

Team  Prob Undefeated Unbeaten Opponents
Clemson                           0.3630 2
Alabama                           0.3028 2
Ohio State                           0.2973 4
San Diego State                           0.1732 0
Houston                           0.1240 3
Boise State                           0.1004 1
Michigan                           0.0666 3
Tennessee                           0.0274 2
Texas A&M                           0.0176 2
Toledo                           0.0122 1
Stanford                           0.0114 1
Utah                           0.0112 2
Baylor                           0.0086 1
Washington                           0.0074 3
Air Force                           0.0058 2
Western Michigan                           0.0053 1
Miami FL                           0.0040 0
Louisville                           0.0020 3
Arizona State                           0.0019 2
Wisconsin                           0.0017 4
Navy                           0.0009 3
Memphis                           0.0005 2
Maryland                           0.0005 4
Nebraska                           0.0003 4
West Virginia                           0.0002 1
Minnesota                        0.00004 3
Wake Forest                        0.00001 2