Expected Wins after Week 12

Updated expected win totals include results from Week 12. Preseason expected wins and Over/Under are included for comparison. Sort order is current expected wins, descending.

Team  Pre E(Wins)  Curr E(Wins) O/U
Alabama               10.725                   11.98 10
Western Michigan                 5.874                   11.64 8.5
Clemson               10.696                   10.98 10.5
Ohio State               10.024                   10.77 9.5
Boise State                 8.774                   10.70 10.5
Washington                 7.982                   10.66 9
Michigan                 9.863                   10.23 10
Penn State                 7.519                     9.92 6.5
Louisville                 5.782                     9.87 9
San Diego State                 9.509                     9.87 8.5
Wisconsin                 5.417                     9.83 7
South Florida                 7.160                     9.78 8.5
Oklahoma               10.304                     9.78 10
Houston                 8.424                     9.68 9.5
Nebraska                 6.880                     9.54 8.5
Navy                 6.785                     9.53 6.5
West Virginia                 5.815                     9.37 6.5
Troy                 4.259                     9.36 6
Toledo                 7.343                     9.36 6.5
Colorado                 3.725                     9.33 4.5
Oklahoma State                 9.048                     9.22 8.5
Stanford                 6.800                     8.99 8.5
Virginia Tech                 6.840                     8.97 6.5
USC                 8.496                     8.91 7.5
Temple                 6.917                     8.88 8.5
Old Dominion                 6.902                     8.86 5
Appalachian State                 8.491                     8.85 8.5
North Carolina                 7.459                     8.84 8.5
Tennessee                 9.526                     8.84 9.5
Western Kentucky                 8.507                     8.83 8.5
Florida State               10.608                     8.81 9.5
Tulsa                 4.464                     8.72 6.5
Utah                 6.851                     8.67 7.5
Louisiana Tech                 7.551                     8.61 7.5
Texas A&M                 7.188                     8.49 6
Wyoming                 3.721                     8.44 3.5
Washington State                 6.104                     8.34 7.5
Air Force                 6.941                     8.30 8
Florida                 7.848                     8.19 7.5
Minnesota                 4.683                     8.17 6
Auburn                 7.131                     8.02 6.5
Pitt                 6.951                     7.93 7
Miami FL                 5.838                     7.92 6.5
BYU                 5.411                     7.91 8
Georgia                 9.526                     7.88 8.5
Middle Tennessee                 5.614                     7.83 7.5
Arkansas                 6.095                     7.79 7.5
Ohio                 6.502                     7.68 7.5
New Mexico                 5.260                     7.56 7
Arkansas State                 8.648                     7.54 7.5
Iowa                 8.103                     7.46 8.5
Memphis                 6.529                     7.32 6.5
Kansas State                 6.187                     7.30 5.5
Idaho                 4.598                     7.26 3.5
Georgia Tech                 5.768                     7.12 6.5
Baylor                 6.917                     7.11 9.5
Wake Forest                 4.248                     6.74 5.5
Central Michigan                 6.860                     6.59 7
LSU                 9.469                     6.51 10
Eastern Michigan                 3.359                     6.41 3
Central Florida                 6.794                     6.22 5
Colorado State                 6.501                     6.13 5.5
Army West Point                 3.011                     6.13 4.5
Kentucky                 4.939                     6.13 5
TCU                 8.113                     6.04 8
South Carolina                 4.963                     6.02 5
Northwestern                 7.294                     5.89 6.5
Hawaii                 6.363                     5.86 2.5
Maryland                 6.131                     5.86 4.5
Indiana                 5.580                     5.79 4.5
Ole Miss                 6.363                     5.77 8.5
UTSA                 4.499                     5.74 4
Texas                 6.312                     5.62 6.5
Arizona State                 7.184                     5.62 5
Miami OH                 3.506                     5.59 3.5
North Texas                 3.728                     5.57 2
Southern Miss                 7.317                     5.39 8
SMU                 3.343                     5.33 3.5
Akron                 6.181                     5.32 5
Boston College                 5.171                     5.26 6.5
Vanderbilt                 4.449                     5.16 5
North Carolina State                 5.944                     5.16 6
South Alabama                 5.333                     5.07 3
Oregon                 8.917                     4.83 8
Louisiana-Lafayette                 5.884                     4.74 6.5
Northern Illinois                 9.760                     4.73 8.5
UCLA                 9.701                     4.67 8.5
Louisiana-Monroe                 3.652                     4.58 3.5
UNLV                 4.474                     4.56 5.5
Georgia Southern                 6.955                     4.45 8
Nevada                 6.487                     4.44 6.5
Ball State                 5.274                     4.41 4.5
California                 3.006                     4.33 4
Cincinnati                 7.467                     4.28 6.5
Texas Tech                 4.615                     4.28 7
Charlotte                 5.233                     4.26 2.5
Mississippi State                 6.823                     4.23 6.5
Florida International                 4.270                     4.14 6.5
Notre Dame                 9.288                     4.09 9.5
Duke                 5.502                     4.08 5.5
Syracuse                 4.208                     4.07 4
Bowling Green                 6.056                     3.77 6.5
Connecticut                 3.578                     3.64 5
San Jose State                 6.336                     3.56 5
UTEP                 5.562                     3.43 5
New Mexico State                 3.668                     3.41 3
Georgia State                 4.940                     3.40 4.5
Tulane                 7.604                     3.36 3.5
Kent State                 4.576                     3.27 4.5
Iowa State                 5.565                     3.24 3.5
Purdue                 3.569                     3.21 4.5
Missouri                 6.200                     3.21 5.5
Marshall                 6.147                     3.17 8.5
Florida Atlantic                 5.456                     3.17 4.5
Oregon State                 4.467                     3.17 3.5
East Carolina                 5.334                     3.12 5.5
Illinois                 4.648                     3.11 4.5
Utah State                 5.515                     3.09 6.5
Michigan State                 9.071                     3.08 7.5
Rice                 6.585                     3.01 6
Arizona                 6.528                     2.38 6
Texas State                 4.521                     2.33 3
Buffalo                 6.122                     2.23 5.5
Rutgers                 5.198                     2.14 4.5
Massachusetts                 3.011                     2.14 2.5
Kansas                 2.335                     2.04 1.5
Virginia                 8.399                     2.03 4.5
Fresno State                 4.029                     1.44 3.5
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