Expected Wins after Week 11

Updated expected win totals include results from Week 11. Preseason expected wins and Over/Under are included for comparison. Sort order is current expected wins, descending.

Team  Pre E(Wins)  Curr E(Wins) O/U
Alabama               10.725                   11.97 10
Western Michigan                 5.874                   11.63 8.5
Clemson               10.696                   10.94 10.5
Ohio State               10.024                   10.74 9.5
Boise State                 8.774                   10.69 10.5
San Diego State                 9.509                   10.65 8.5
Washington                 7.982                   10.53 9
Louisville                 5.782                   10.50 9
Michigan                 9.863                   10.21 10
Troy                 4.259                     9.99 6
Penn State                 7.519                     9.87 6.5
Wisconsin                 5.417                     9.68 7
West Virginia                 5.815                     9.66 6.5
Oklahoma               10.304                     9.54 10
Utah                 6.851                     9.47 7.5
South Florida                 7.160                     9.38 8.5
Nebraska                 6.880                     9.36 8.5
Toledo                 7.343                     9.30 6.5
Navy                 6.785                     9.28 6.5
Houston                 8.424                     9.00 9.5
Colorado                 3.725                     8.84 4.5
Washington State                 6.104                     8.84 7.5
Tennessee                 9.526                     8.83 9.5
North Carolina                 7.459                     8.81 8.5
Western Kentucky                 8.507                     8.80 8.5
Appalachian State                 8.491                     8.78 8.5
Oklahoma State                 9.048                     8.77 8.5
Stanford                 6.800                     8.76 8.5
Florida State               10.608                     8.70 9.5
Old Dominion                 6.902                     8.58 5
Louisiana Tech                 7.551                     8.56 7.5
Temple                 6.917                     8.54 8.5
Texas A&M                 7.188                     8.48 6
USC                 8.496                     8.48 7.5
Virginia Tech                 6.840                     8.35 6.5
Florida                 7.848                     8.24 7.5
Ohio                 6.502                     8.10 7.5
Auburn                 7.131                     8.03 6.5
New Mexico                 5.260                     7.98 7
Tulsa                 4.464                     7.89 6.5
BYU                 5.411                     7.87 8
Georgia                 9.526                     7.87 8.5
Pitt                 6.951                     7.78 7
Baylor                 6.917                     7.78 9.5
Minnesota                 4.683                     7.76 6
Air Force                 6.941                     7.75 8
Wyoming                 3.721                     7.62 3.5
LSU                 9.469                     7.50 10
Miami FL                 5.838                     7.46 6.5
Idaho                 4.598                     7.44 3.5
Arkansas                 6.095                     7.37 7.5
Middle Tennessee                 5.614                     7.32 7.5
Iowa                 8.103                     7.29 8.5
Central Florida                 6.794                     7.02 5
Georgia Tech                 5.768                     7.02 6.5
Arkansas State                 8.648                     6.89 7.5
Eastern Michigan                 3.359                     6.84 3
Wake Forest                 4.248                     6.76 5.5
Memphis                 6.529                     6.76 6.5
TCU                 8.113                     6.55 8
Texas                 6.312                     6.55 6.5
Kansas State                 6.187                     6.54 5.5
Ole Miss                 6.363                     6.47 8.5
Northwestern                 7.294                     6.29 6.5
Central Michigan                 6.860                     6.14 7
Kentucky                 4.939                     6.11 5
Southern Miss                 7.317                     6.05 8
Maryland                 6.131                     6.02 4.5
South Carolina                 4.963                     6.01 5
Army West Point                 3.011                     5.90 4.5
Indiana                 5.580                     5.80 4.5
Colorado State                 6.501                     5.74 5.5
UTSA                 4.499                     5.73 4
Arizona State                 7.184                     5.72 5
SMU                 3.343                     5.67 3.5
North Carolina State                 5.944                     5.61 6
Miami OH                 3.506                     5.58 3.5
Hawaii                 6.363                     5.39 2.5
Akron                 6.181                     5.30 5
South Alabama                 5.333                     5.08 3
Boston College                 5.171                     5.08 6.5
UCLA                 9.701                     5.06 8.5
Georgia Southern                 6.955                     5.04 8
Cincinnati                 7.467                     4.99 6.5
North Texas                 3.728                     4.88 2
Texas Tech                 4.615                     4.88 7
Louisiana-Lafayette                 5.884                     4.82 6.5
Charlotte                 5.233                     4.75 2.5
Notre Dame                 9.288                     4.74 9.5
Mississippi State                 6.823                     4.66 6.5
UNLV                 4.474                     4.65 5.5
Louisiana-Monroe                 3.652                     4.63 3.5
California                 3.006                     4.56 4
Ball State                 5.274                     4.47 4.5
Vanderbilt                 4.449                     4.44 5
Northern Illinois                 9.760                     4.35 8.5
Duke                 5.502                     4.23 5.5
Syracuse                 4.208                     4.15 4
San Jose State                 6.336                     4.07 5
Oregon                 8.917                     4.01 8
Nevada                 6.487                     4.00 6.5
UTEP                 5.562                     3.83 5
Connecticut                 3.578                     3.81 5
Florida International                 4.270                     3.72 6.5
Tulane                 7.604                     3.67 3.5
Kent State                 4.576                     3.66 4.5
Marshall                 6.147                     3.62 8.5
Utah State                 5.515                     3.50 6.5
Florida Atlantic                 5.456                     3.49 4.5
East Carolina                 5.334                     3.41 5.5
Purdue                 3.569                     3.37 4.5
Bowling Green                 6.056                     3.35 6.5
Illinois                 4.648                     3.31 4.5
Missouri                 6.200                     3.23 5.5
Michigan State                 9.071                     3.13 7.5
New Mexico State                 3.668                     3.12 3
Arizona                 6.528                     2.96 6
Rice                 6.585                     2.69 6
Iowa State                 5.565                     2.62 3.5
Texas State                 4.521                     2.62 3
Oregon State                 4.467                     2.62 3.5
Georgia State                 4.940                     2.62 4.5
Buffalo                 6.122                     2.28 5.5
Massachusetts                 3.011                     2.19 2.5
Rutgers                 5.198                     2.17 4.5
Virginia                 8.399                     2.14 4.5
Fresno State                 4.029                     1.89 3.5
Kansas                 2.335                     1.11 1.5
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