Expected Wins after Week 10

Updated expected win totals include results from Week 10. Preseason expected wins and Over/Under are included for comparison. Sort order is current expected wins, descending.

Team  Pre E(Wins)  Curr E(Wins) O/U
Alabama               10.725                   11.95 10
Clemson               10.696                   11.94 10.5
Western Michigan                 5.874                   11.54 8.5
Washington                 7.982                   11.29 9
Michigan                 9.863                   11.22 10
Ohio State               10.024                   10.64 9.5
Boise State                 8.774                   10.53 10.5
San Diego State                 9.509                   10.43 8.5
Louisville                 5.782                   10.41 9
Penn State                 7.519                     9.74 6.5
North Carolina                 7.459                     9.69 8.5
Wisconsin                 5.417                     9.59 7
Texas A&M                 7.188                     9.45 6
Appalachian State                 8.491                     9.43 8.5
Virginia Tech                 6.840                     9.33 6.5
Troy                 4.259                     9.23 6
Oklahoma               10.304                     9.20 10
Nebraska                 6.880                     9.14 8.5
South Florida                 7.160                     9.03 8.5
Navy                 6.785                     9.02 6.5
Utah                 6.851                     9.00 7.5
West Virginia                 5.815                     8.93 6.5
Houston                 8.424                     8.89 9.5
Oklahoma State                 9.048                     8.82 8.5
Toledo                 7.343                     8.81 6.5
Tennessee                 9.526                     8.72 9.5
Western Kentucky                 8.507                     8.71 8.5
Florida State               10.608                     8.66 9.5
Auburn                 7.131                     8.53 6.5
Colorado                 3.725                     8.50 4.5
Temple                 6.917                     8.49 8.5
Washington State                 6.104                     8.44 7.5
Louisiana Tech                 7.551                     8.33 7.5
Wyoming                 3.721                     8.29 3.5
Stanford                 6.800                     8.27 8.5
Tulsa                 4.464                     8.21 6.5
Baylor                 6.917                     8.20 9.5
Old Dominion                 6.902                     8.15 5
Florida                 7.848                     8.08 7.5
Minnesota                 4.683                     8.08 6
Ohio                 6.502                     8.05 7.5
Middle Tennessee                 5.614                     7.93 7.5
BYU                 5.411                     7.85 8
USC                 8.496                     7.75 7.5
Arkansas                 6.095                     7.75 7.5
Georgia                 9.526                     7.39 8.5
Miami FL                 5.838                     7.36 6.5
Air Force                 6.941                     7.33 8
New Mexico                 5.260                     7.31 7
Texas                 6.312                     7.27 6.5
Memphis                 6.529                     7.27 6.5
LSU                 9.469                     7.09 10
Idaho                 4.598                     6.97 3.5
Wake Forest                 4.248                     6.82 5.5
Arkansas State                 8.648                     6.75 7.5
Pitt                 6.951                     6.72 7
Central Florida                 6.794                     6.65 5
Southern Miss                 7.317                     6.56 8
TCU                 8.113                     6.52 8
Kansas State                 6.187                     6.41 5.5
Iowa                 8.103                     6.26 8.5
Kentucky                 4.939                     6.21 5
Colorado State                 6.501                     6.21 5.5
Akron                 6.181                     6.19 5
South Carolina                 4.963                     6.18 5
Central Michigan                 6.860                     6.18 7
Georgia Tech                 5.768                     6.14 6.5
Arizona State                 7.184                     6.14 5
Eastern Michigan                 3.359                     6.09 3
Maryland                 6.131                     6.07 4.5
Army West Point                 3.011                     6.00 4.5
Indiana                 5.580                     5.93 4.5
Georgia Southern                 6.955                     5.93 8
UTSA                 4.499                     5.86 4
Northwestern                 7.294                     5.85 6.5
Hawaii                 6.363                     5.61 2.5
Ole Miss                 6.363                     5.57 8.5
Charlotte                 5.233                     5.53 2.5
Ball State                 5.274                     5.28 4.5
Cincinnati                 7.467                     5.25 6.5
North Carolina State                 5.944                     5.14 6
Boston College                 5.171                     5.11 6.5
South Alabama                 5.333                     5.10 3
Vanderbilt                 4.449                     5.06 5
UCLA                 9.701                     4.97 8.5
Miami OH                 3.506                     4.96 3.5
Texas Tech                 4.615                     4.95 7
North Texas                 3.728                     4.94 2
SMU                 3.343                     4.94 3.5
California                 3.006                     4.90 4
Northern Illinois                 9.760                     4.77 8.5
Mississippi State                 6.823                     4.66 6.5
Syracuse                 4.208                     4.66 4
Notre Dame                 9.288                     4.57 9.5
Oregon                 8.917                     4.55 8
UTEP                 5.562                     4.30 5
Nevada                 6.487                     4.26 6.5
East Carolina                 5.334                     4.13 5.5
San Jose State                 6.336                     4.08 5
Utah State                 5.515                     4.07 6.5
Louisiana-Lafayette                 5.884                     4.06 6.5
Kent State                 4.576                     3.98 4.5
UNLV                 4.474                     3.97 5.5
Louisiana-Monroe                 3.652                     3.92 3.5
Connecticut                 3.578                     3.81 5
Florida International                 4.270                     3.76 6.5
Purdue                 3.569                     3.75 4.5
Tulane                 7.604                     3.73 3.5
Illinois                 4.648                     3.43 4.5
Duke                 5.502                     3.39 5.5
Arizona                 6.528                     3.38 6
Georgia State                 4.940                     3.29 4.5
New Mexico State                 3.668                     3.19 3
Texas State                 4.521                     3.14 3
Michigan State                 9.071                     3.05 7.5
Florida Atlantic                 5.456                     3.04 4.5
Marshall                 6.147                     2.98 8.5
Buffalo                 6.122                     2.94 5.5
Oregon State                 4.467                     2.63 3.5
Missouri                 6.200                     2.60 5.5
Virginia                 8.399                     2.27 4.5
Rutgers                 5.198                     2.25 4.5
Bowling Green                 6.056                     2.23 6.5
Massachusetts                 3.011                     2.17 2.5
Iowa State                 5.565                     2.03 3.5
Rice                 6.585                     1.92 6
Fresno State                 4.029                     1.86 3.5
Kansas                 2.335                     1.65 1.5
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