Expected Wins after Week 9

Updated expected win totals include results from Week 9. Preseason expected wins and Over/Under are included for comparison. Sort order is current expected wins, descending.

Team  Pre E(Wins)  Curr E(Wins) O/U
Clemson               10.696                   11.94 10.5
Alabama               10.725                   11.71 10
Western Michigan                 5.874                   11.40 8.5
Michigan                 9.863                   11.19 10
Washington                 7.982                   11.00 9
Ohio State               10.024                   10.61 9.5
Boise State                 8.774                   10.52 10.5
Texas A&M                 7.188                   10.38 6
San Diego State                 9.509                   10.34 8.5
Louisville                 5.782                   10.11 9
Penn State                 7.519                     9.62 6.5
North Carolina                 7.459                     9.47 8.5
Appalachian State                 8.491                     9.42 8.5
Oklahoma               10.304                     9.34 10
Baylor                 6.917                     9.22 9.5
Troy                 4.259                     9.21 6
Wisconsin                 5.417                     9.18 7
Nebraska                 6.880                     9.18 8.5
South Florida                 7.160                     9.09 8.5
Virginia Tech                 6.840                     9.08 6.5
Utah                 6.851                     9.01 7.5
Houston                 8.424                     9.00 9.5
Middle Tennessee                 5.614                     8.88 7.5
West Virginia                 5.815                     8.81 6.5
Tennessee                 9.526                     8.76 9.5
Florida                 7.848                     8.70 7.5
Western Kentucky                 8.507                     8.56 8.5
Auburn                 7.131                     8.47 6.5
Florida State               10.608                     8.42 9.5
Oklahoma State                 9.048                     8.42 8.5
Toledo                 7.343                     8.35 6.5
Washington State                 6.104                     8.29 7.5
Stanford                 6.800                     8.22 8.5
Temple                 6.917                     8.14 8.5
Navy                 6.785                     8.13 6.5
Wyoming                 3.721                     7.99 3.5
Louisiana Tech                 7.551                     7.95 7.5
Old Dominion                 6.902                     7.90 5
Tulsa                 4.464                     7.87 6.5
Colorado                 3.725                     7.86 4.5
Minnesota                 4.683                     7.82 6
Ohio                 6.502                     7.81 7.5
Southern Miss                 7.317                     7.70 8
USC                 8.496                     7.41 7.5
LSU                 9.469                     7.38 10
BYU                 5.411                     7.35 8
Arkansas                 6.095                     7.12 7.5
Pitt                 6.951                     7.11 7
Central Michigan                 6.860                     6.96 7
Georgia                 9.526                     6.96 8.5
Miami FL                 5.838                     6.89 6.5
New Mexico                 5.260                     6.86 7
Air Force                 6.941                     6.85 8
Kansas State                 6.187                     6.77 5.5
Texas                 6.312                     6.75 6.5
Akron                 6.181                     6.64 5
Wake Forest                 4.248                     6.62 5.5
Kentucky                 4.939                     6.61 5
Memphis                 6.529                     6.54 6.5
Army West Point                 3.011                     6.49 4.5
Iowa                 8.103                     6.44 8.5
Northwestern                 7.294                     6.38 6.5
Georgia Tech                 5.768                     6.37 6.5
Arkansas State                 8.648                     6.30 7.5
Idaho                 4.598                     6.23 3.5
Arizona State                 7.184                     6.17 5
Maryland                 6.131                     6.07 4.5
Colorado State                 6.501                     6.05 5.5
Eastern Michigan                 3.359                     6.01 3
South Carolina                 4.963                     5.99 5
Georgia Southern                 6.955                     5.96 8
Cincinnati                 7.467                     5.96 6.5
South Alabama                 5.333                     5.80 3
Hawaii                 6.363                     5.70 2.5
TCU                 8.113                     5.67 8
UCLA                 9.701                     5.65 8.5
Ball State                 5.274                     5.63 4.5
SMU                 3.343                     5.62 3.5
Indiana                 5.580                     5.58 4.5
Central Florida                 6.794                     5.50 5
Ole Miss                 6.363                     5.47 8.5
Notre Dame                 9.288                     5.35 9.5
North Texas                 3.728                     5.33 2
Boston College                 5.171                     5.33 6.5
Texas Tech                 4.615                     5.28 7
North Carolina State                 5.944                     5.28 6
California                 3.006                     5.14 4
Vanderbilt                 4.449                     5.14 5
UTSA                 4.499                     5.07 4
Louisiana-Lafayette                 5.884                     4.87 6.5
Oregon                 8.917                     4.81 8
Syracuse                 4.208                     4.73 4
Nevada                 6.487                     4.71 6.5
Northern Illinois                 9.760                     4.70 8.5
Utah State                 5.515                     4.42 6.5
East Carolina                 5.334                     4.41 5.5
Charlotte                 5.233                     4.39 2.5
San Jose State                 6.336                     4.19 5
Connecticut                 3.578                     4.16 5
Miami OH                 3.506                     4.12 3.5
Kent State                 4.576                     4.00 4.5
UNLV                 4.474                     3.94 5.5
Purdue                 3.569                     3.93 4.5
UTEP                 5.562                     3.92 5
Michigan State                 9.071                     3.91 7.5
Florida International                 4.270                     3.79 6.5
Georgia State                 4.940                     3.77 4.5
Mississippi State                 6.823                     3.73 6.5
Tulane                 7.604                     3.72 3.5
Duke                 5.502                     3.67 5.5
Arizona                 6.528                     3.55 6
Marshall                 6.147                     3.26 8.5
Texas State                 4.521                     3.22 3
New Mexico State                 3.668                     3.16 3
Buffalo                 6.122                     3.15 5.5
Louisiana-Monroe                 3.652                     3.10 3.5
Rice                 6.585                     2.90 6
Missouri                 6.200                     2.79 5.5
Oregon State                 4.467                     2.68 3.5
Rutgers                 5.198                     2.62 4.5
Virginia                 8.399                     2.51 4.5
Illinois                 4.648                     2.47 4.5
Massachusetts                 3.011                     2.24 2.5
Bowling Green                 6.056                     2.23 6.5
Florida Atlantic                 5.456                     2.12 4.5
Iowa State                 5.565                     2.03 3.5
Fresno State                 4.029                     2.02 3.5
Kansas                 2.335                     1.70 1.5
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