Expected Wins after Week 6

Updated expected win totals include results from Week 6. Preseason expected wins and Over/Under are included for comparison. Sort order is current expected wins, descending.

Team  Pre E(Wins)  Curr E(Wins) O/U
Clemson                 10.70                   11.35 10.5
Alabama                 10.72                   10.97 10
Ohio State                 10.02                   10.86 9.5
Michigan                   9.86                   10.52 10
Boise State                   8.77                   10.44 10.5
Texas A&M                   7.19                   10.19 6
Washington                   7.98                     9.98 9
Tennessee                   9.53                     9.97 9.5
Western Michigan                   5.87                     9.73 8.5
Baylor                   6.92                     9.56 9.5
Houston                   8.42                     9.47 9.5
San Diego State                   9.51                     9.29 8.5
Georgia                   9.53                     9.13 8.5
Oklahoma                 10.30                     9.06 10
Florida State                 10.61                     8.95 9.5
South Florida                   7.16                     8.87 8.5
Toledo                   7.34                     8.75 6.5
Louisville                   5.78                     8.50 9
Appalachian State                   8.49                     8.42 8.5
Nebraska                   6.88                     8.38 8.5
Miami FL                   5.84                     8.33 6.5
North Carolina                   7.46                     8.29 8.5
Utah                   6.85                     8.24 7.5
Arizona State                   7.18                     8.16 5
Wisconsin                   5.42                     8.12 7
Virginia Tech                   6.84                     8.05 6.5
Air Force                   6.94                     8.00 8
Oklahoma State                   9.05                     7.91 8.5
UCLA                   9.70                     7.80 8.5
Navy                   6.78                     7.80 6.5
Memphis                   6.53                     7.79 6.5
Penn State                   7.52                     7.77 6.5
Stanford                   6.80                     7.61 8.5
Florida                   7.85                     7.59 7.5
Old Dominion                   6.90                     7.55 5
West Virginia                   5.81                     7.50 6.5
TCU                   8.11                     7.48 8
Southern Miss                   7.32                     7.47 8
Middle Tennessee                   5.61                     7.46 7.5
Maryland                   6.13                     7.37 4.5
Wake Forest                   4.25                     7.37 5.5
Auburn                   7.13                     7.37 6.5
Central Michigan                   6.86                     7.32 7
Iowa                   8.10                     7.32 8.5
Pitt                   6.95                     7.27 7
Akron                   6.18                     7.23 5
LSU                   9.47                     7.19 10
Ohio                   6.50                     7.13 7.5
Troy                   4.26                     7.12 6
Western Kentucky                   8.51                     7.08 8.5
Hawaii                   6.36                     7.06 2.5
Ole Miss                   6.36                     6.93 8.5
BYU                   5.41                     6.93 8
Louisiana Tech                   7.55                     6.83 7.5
Georgia Southern                   6.96                     6.78 8
Arkansas                   6.09                     6.72 7.5
Central Florida                   6.79                     6.61 5
Tulsa                   4.46                     6.58 6.5
USC                   8.50                     6.55 7.5
South Alabama                   5.33                     6.45 3
North Carolina State                   5.94                     6.44 6
Texas                   6.31                     6.43 6.5
Washington State                   6.10                     6.40 7.5
Michigan State                   9.07                     6.31 7.5
Ball State                   5.27                     6.27 4.5
Arkansas State                   8.65                     6.20 7.5
Notre Dame                   9.29                     6.12 9.5
Indiana                   5.58                     6.09 4.5
Cincinnati                   7.47                     6.08 6.5
Nevada                   6.49                     6.05 6.5
Kansas State                   6.19                     6.04 5.5
Northern Illinois                   9.76                     5.92 8.5
Wyoming                   3.72                     5.92 3.5
Temple                   6.92                     5.88 8.5
Oregon                   8.92                     5.82 8
Georgia Tech                   5.77                     5.79 6.5
Minnesota                   4.68                     5.71 6
Eastern Michigan                   3.36                     5.71 3
Tulane                   7.60                     5.65 3.5
Colorado                   3.72                     5.60 4.5
Northwestern                   7.29                     5.57 6.5
Idaho                   4.60                     5.54 3.5
Colorado State                   6.50                     5.53 5.5
Boston College                   5.17                     5.51 6.5
North Texas                   3.73                     5.48 2
Army West Point                   3.01                     5.36 4.5
Missouri                   6.20                     5.22 5.5
Mississippi State                   6.82                     5.21 6.5
Kentucky                   4.94                     5.18 5
Texas State                   4.52                     5.15 3
New Mexico                   5.26                     5.03 7
Arizona                   6.53                     5.01 6
Texas Tech                   4.61                     4.99 7
Utah State                   5.52                     4.96 6.5
Connecticut                   3.58                     4.94 5
South Carolina                   4.96                     4.93 5
East Carolina                   5.33                     4.89 5.5
UTSA                   4.50                     4.75 4
Louisiana-Lafayette                   5.88                     4.74 6.5
Duke                   5.50                     4.65 5.5
Purdue                   3.57                     4.52 4.5
Marshall                   6.15                     4.51 8.5
California                   3.01                     4.49 4
Charlotte                   5.23                     4.33 2.5
Virginia                   8.40                     4.25 4.5
UNLV                   4.47                     4.24 5.5
Kent State                   4.58                     4.23 4.5
Rutgers                   5.20                     4.17 4.5
Florida International                   4.27                     4.10 6.5
Rice                   6.58                     3.97 6
New Mexico State                   3.67                     3.86 3
San Jose State                   6.34                     3.82 5
Georgia State                   4.94                     3.72 4.5
Vanderbilt                   4.45                     3.72 5
SMU                   3.34                     3.69 3.5
UTEP                   5.56                     3.59 5
Buffalo                   6.12                     3.43 5.5
Bowling Green                   6.06                     3.40 6.5
Oregon State                   4.47                     3.29 3.5
Florida Atlantic                   5.46                     3.19 4.5
Syracuse                   4.21                     3.19 4
Iowa State                   5.56                     3.19 3.5
Louisiana-Monroe                   3.65                     3.18 3.5
Fresno State                   4.03                     2.90 3.5
Massachusetts                   3.01                     2.47 2.5
Illinois                   4.65                     2.30 4.5
Miami OH                   3.51                     1.87 3.5
Kansas                   2.33                     1.85 1.5
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