Expected Wins after Week 5

Updated expected win totals include results from Week 5. Preseason expected wins and Over/Under are included for comparison. Sort order is current expected wins, descending.

Team  Pre E(Wins)  Curr E(Wins) O/U
Clemson                 10.70                   11.25 10.5
Ohio State                 10.02                   10.88 9.5
Alabama                 10.72                   10.79 10
Boise State                   8.77                   10.46 10.5
Michigan                   9.86                   10.31 10
Houston                   8.42                   10.27 9.5
Tennessee                   9.53                   10.26 9.5
Texas A&M                   7.19                     9.74 6
San Diego State                   9.51                     9.67 8.5
Baylor                   6.92                     9.41 9.5
North Carolina                   7.46                     9.07 8.5
Washington                   7.98                     9.07 9
Oklahoma                 10.30                     9.01 10
Western Michigan                   5.87                     9.00 8.5
Georgia                   9.53                     8.85 8.5
Miami FL                   5.84                     8.67 6.5
Florida State                 10.61                     8.64 9.5
South Florida                   7.16                     8.56 8.5
Wisconsin                   5.42                     8.55 7
Louisville                   5.78                     8.54 9
UCLA                   9.70                     8.47 8.5
Toledo                   7.34                     8.29 6.5
Stanford                   6.80                     8.22 8.5
LSU                   9.47                     8.18 10
Southern Miss                   7.32                     8.16 8
Appalachian State                   8.49                     8.15 8.5
Utah                   6.85                     8.14 7.5
Nebraska                   6.88                     8.12 8.5
Air Force                   6.94                     8.10 8
Maryland                   6.13                     7.89 4.5
Florida                   7.85                     7.88 7.5
Oklahoma State                   9.05                     7.81 8.5
Western Kentucky                   8.51                     7.67 8.5
Arizona State                   7.18                     7.64 5
Michigan State                   9.07                     7.54 7.5
West Virginia                   5.81                     7.50 6.5
TCU                   8.11                     7.44 8
Middle Tennessee                   5.61                     7.43 7.5
Memphis                   6.53                     7.33 6.5
Georgia Southern                   6.96                     7.30 8
Old Dominion                   6.90                     7.27 5
Central Michigan                   6.86                     7.22 7
Cincinnati                   7.47                     7.20 6.5
Central Florida                   6.79                     7.16 5
Navy                   6.78                     7.16 6.5
Wake Forest                   4.25                     7.09 5.5
Iowa                   8.10                     7.08 8.5
Pitt                   6.95                     7.02 7
Virginia Tech                   6.84                     6.97 6.5
Auburn                   7.13                     6.97 6.5
Troy                   4.26                     6.94 6
Penn State                   7.52                     6.93 6.5
Akron                   6.18                     6.91 5
Notre Dame                   9.29                     6.91 9.5
Arkansas                   6.09                     6.85 7.5
Ball State                   5.27                     6.79 4.5
Ohio                   6.50                     6.68 7.5
Oregon                   8.92                     6.67 8
Ole Miss                   6.36                     6.63 8.5
Northern Illinois                   9.76                     6.51 8.5
Temple                   6.92                     6.51 8.5
Louisiana Tech                   7.55                     6.40 7.5
Texas                   6.31                     6.40 6.5
USC                   8.50                     6.40 7.5
South Alabama                   5.33                     6.33 3
Georgia Tech                   5.77                     6.22 6.5
Indiana                   5.58                     6.19 4.5
Tulsa                   4.46                     6.17 6.5
Hawaii                   6.36                     6.02 2.5
Minnesota                   4.68                     6.00 6
Nevada                   6.49                     5.86 6.5
Kansas State                   6.19                     5.83 5.5
Mississippi State                   6.82                     5.82 6.5
Arkansas State                   8.65                     5.79 7.5
Eastern Michigan                   3.36                     5.79 3
North Carolina State                   5.94                     5.68 6
Colorado                   3.72                     5.67 4.5
Boston College                   5.17                     5.57 6.5
Tulane                   7.60                     5.56 3.5
Texas State                   4.52                     5.55 3
Army West Point                   3.01                     5.54 4.5
Washington State                   6.10                     5.51 7.5
Utah State                   5.52                     5.43 6.5
BYU                   5.41                     5.38 8
Arizona                   6.53                     5.35 6
South Carolina                   4.96                     5.33 5
Northwestern                   7.29                     5.30 6.5
New Mexico                   5.26                     5.27 7
Texas Tech                   4.61                     5.27 7
Colorado State                   6.50                     5.26 5.5
East Carolina                   5.33                     5.25 5.5
Missouri                   6.20                     5.20 5.5
Wyoming                   3.72                     5.19 3.5
California                   3.01                     5.12 4
North Texas                   3.73                     5.07 2
Marshall                   6.15                     5.01 8.5
Idaho                   4.60                     4.94 3.5
Kentucky                   4.94                     4.80 5
Louisiana-Lafayette                   5.88                     4.79 6.5
Duke                   5.50                     4.70 5.5
San Jose State                   6.34                     4.54 5
Buffalo                   6.12                     4.44 5.5
UTEP                   5.56                     4.32 5
Rutgers                   5.20                     4.29 4.5
UNLV                   4.47                     4.28 5.5
Vanderbilt                   4.45                     4.19 5
Connecticut                   3.58                     4.18 5
SMU                   3.34                     4.09 3.5
Bowling Green                   6.06                     4.04 6.5
Rice                   6.58                     4.03 6
Louisiana-Monroe                   3.65                     4.01 3.5
Virginia                   8.40                     4.00 4.5
Florida Atlantic                   5.46                     3.89 4.5
New Mexico State                   3.67                     3.84 3
UTSA                   4.50                     3.77 4
Purdue                   3.57                     3.75 4.5
Charlotte                   5.23                     3.72 2.5
Syracuse                   4.21                     3.67 4
Georgia State                   4.94                     3.60 4.5
Kent State                   4.58                     3.46 4.5
Florida International                   4.27                     3.37 6.5
Iowa State                   5.56                     3.36 3.5
Fresno State                   4.03                     3.19 3.5
Illinois                   4.65                     3.11 4.5
Massachusetts                   3.01                     2.78 2.5
Oregon State                   4.47                     2.64 3.5
Kansas                   2.33                     1.97 1.5
Miami OH                   3.51                     1.88 3.5
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