Expected Wins after Week 2

Updated expected win totals include results from Week 2. Preseason expected wins and Over/Under are included for comparison. Sort order is current expected wins, descending.

Most overachieving so far: Wisconsin (+2.03 from preseason) and Army West Point (+2.01)

Most underachieving so far: Northwestern (-2.25) and Northern Illinois (-1.72)

Team  Pre E(Wins)  Curr E(Wins) O/U
Clemson                 10.70                   11.06 10.5
Alabama                 10.72                   10.98 10
Florida State                 10.61                   10.61 9.5
Ohio State                 10.02                   10.16 9.5
Michigan                   9.86                   10.11 10
Georgia                   9.53                   10.01 8.5
San Diego State                   9.51                     9.67 8.5
Tennessee                   9.53                     9.60 9.5
Boise State                   8.77                     9.51 10.5
Houston                   8.42                     9.37 9.5
Oregon                   8.92                     9.31 8
Oklahoma                 10.30                     9.28 10
UCLA                   9.70                     9.05 8.5
Michigan State                   9.07                     8.85 7.5
Western Kentucky                   8.51                     8.67 8.5
Notre Dame                   9.29                     8.58 9.5
Iowa                   8.10                     8.55 8.5
Appalachian State                   8.49                     8.49 8.5
Southern Miss                   7.32                     8.48 8
Toledo                   7.34                     8.46 6.5
Florida                   7.85                     8.40 7.5
LSU                   9.47                     8.30 10
Texas A&M                   7.19                     8.12 6
Central Michigan                   6.86                     8.10 7
USC                   8.50                     8.06 7.5
Washington                   7.98                     8.04 9
Northern Illinois                   9.76                     8.04 8.5
Oklahoma State                   9.05                     8.03 8.5
Cincinnati                   7.47                     7.94 6.5
South Florida                   7.16                     7.80 8.5
Georgia Southern                   6.96                     7.76 8
Pitt                   6.95                     7.56 7
Utah                   6.85                     7.55 7.5
Arkansas State                   8.65                     7.52 7.5
TCU                   8.11                     7.48 8
North Carolina                   7.46                     7.47 8.5
Air Force                   6.94                     7.45 8
Wisconsin                   5.42                     7.45 7
Louisiana Tech                   7.55                     7.41 7.5
Arizona State                   7.18                     7.34 5
Stanford                   6.80                     7.28 8.5
Texas                   6.31                     7.23 6.5
Baylor                   6.92                     7.09 9.5
Tulane                   7.60                     7.00 3.5
Navy                   6.78                     6.94 6.5
Penn State                   7.52                     6.93 6.5
Virginia                   8.40                     6.91 4.5
Western Michigan                   5.87                     6.89 8.5
Arkansas                   6.09                     6.87 7.5
Nebraska                   6.88                     6.86 8.5
Louisville                   5.78                     6.84 9
Auburn                   7.13                     6.83 6.5
Old Dominion                   6.90                     6.78 5
Central Florida                   6.79                     6.75 5
Virginia Tech                   6.84                     6.71 6.5
Memphis                   6.53                     6.58 6.5
Nevada                   6.49                     6.52 6.5
Maryland                   6.13                     6.51 4.5
West Virginia                   5.81                     6.48 6.5
East Carolina                   5.33                     6.43 5.5
Akron                   6.18                     6.38 5
Bowling Green                   6.06                     6.25 6.5
Marshall                   6.15                     6.23 8.5
Colorado State                   6.50                     6.19 5.5
Miami FL                   5.84                     6.16 6.5
Georgia Tech                   5.77                     6.14 6.5
Ohio                   6.50                     6.13 7.5
Indiana                   5.58                     6.12 4.5
Kansas State                   6.19                     6.04 5.5
BYU                   5.41                     6.02 8
Ball State                   5.27                     6.02 4.5
Mississippi State                   6.82                     5.99 6.5
Ole Miss                   6.36                     5.98 8.5
Temple                   6.92                     5.92 8.5
Hawaii                   6.36                     5.84 2.5
South Alabama                   5.33                     5.83 3
Arizona                   6.53                     5.81 6
UTEP                   5.56                     5.77 5
Texas State                   4.52                     5.73 3
Wake Forest                   4.25                     5.69 5.5
San Jose State                   6.34                     5.68 5
Utah State                   5.52                     5.64 6.5
Middle Tennessee                   5.61                     5.61 7.5
Minnesota                   4.68                     5.58 6
Louisiana-Lafayette                   5.88                     5.53 6.5
Missouri                   6.20                     5.51 5.5
Rice                   6.58                     5.44 6
Charlotte                   5.23                     5.41 2.5
South Carolina                   4.96                     5.34 5
North Carolina State                   5.94                     5.29 6
Boston College                   5.17                     5.26 6.5
Tulsa                   4.46                     5.05 6.5
Northwestern                   7.29                     5.04 6.5
Army West Point                   3.01                     5.02 4.5
Florida Atlantic                   5.46                     4.99 4.5
Rutgers                   5.20                     4.97 4.5
New Mexico                   5.26                     4.94 7
Idaho                   4.60                     4.81 3.5
Buffalo                   6.12                     4.81 5.5
UNLV                   4.47                     4.78 5.5
Wyoming                   3.72                     4.67 3.5
Texas Tech                   4.61                     4.64 7
Washington State                   6.10                     4.62 7.5
Troy                   4.26                     4.55 6
Duke                   5.50                     4.48 5.5
UTSA                   4.50                     4.46 4
Colorado                   3.72                     4.32 4.5
Iowa State                   5.56                     4.31 3.5
Fresno State                   4.03                     4.24 3.5
Illinois                   4.65                     4.21 4.5
SMU                   3.34                     4.07 3.5
Kentucky                   4.94                     4.05 5
Louisiana-Monroe                   3.65                     4.04 3.5
Vanderbilt                   4.45                     4.03 5
Oregon State                   4.47                     3.80 3.5
Georgia State                   4.94                     3.79 4.5
New Mexico State                   3.67                     3.76 3
Syracuse                   4.21                     3.74 4
Florida International                   4.27                     3.71 6.5
Connecticut                   3.58                     3.62 5
Kent State                   4.58                     3.61 4.5
Eastern Michigan                   3.36                     3.57 3
North Texas                   3.73                     3.45 2
California                   3.01                     3.33 4
Purdue                   3.57                     3.19 4.5
Massachusetts                   3.01                     2.62 2.5
Miami OH                   3.51                     2.57 3.5
Kansas                   2.33                     2.22 1.5
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