Expected Wins after Week 1

Expected wins have been updated for Week 1 results. Note that some teams may have a decreased expected win total despite a win in Week 1. This occurred because their future schedule is projected as more difficult after Week 1 than it was projected in the preseason. Additionally, the preseason expected wins remain in the table for comparison.

Team  Pre E(Wins)  Curr E(Wins) O/U
Clemson                 10.70                   11.04 10.5
Alabama                 10.72                   10.95 10
Florida State                 10.61                   10.80 9.5
Ohio State                 10.02                     9.99 9.5
Georgia                   9.53                     9.94 8.5
Michigan                   9.86                     9.82 10
Tennessee                   9.53                     9.61 9.5
San Diego State                   9.51                     9.52 8.5
Houston                   8.42                     9.47 9.5
Oklahoma                 10.30                     9.37 10
Boise State                   8.77                     9.18 10.5
Michigan State                   9.07                     9.10 7.5
UCLA                   9.70                     9.09 8.5
Oklahoma State                   9.05                     9.07 8.5
Oregon                   8.92                     8.83 8
Western Kentucky                   8.51                     8.73 8.5
Northern Illinois                   9.76                     8.71 8.5
Notre Dame                   9.29                     8.56 9.5
LSU                   9.47                     8.49 10
Toledo                   7.34                     8.43 6.5
Appalachian State                   8.49                     8.39 8.5
Southern Miss                   7.32                     8.37 8
USC                   8.50                     8.28 7.5
Iowa                   8.10                     8.15 8.5
TCU                   8.11                     8.14 8
Washington                   7.98                     8.10 9
Florida                   7.85                     7.90 7.5
Arkansas State                   8.65                     7.75 7.5
Texas A&M                   7.19                     7.66 6
Penn State                   7.52                     7.59 6.5
Cincinnati                   7.47                     7.49 6.5
Louisiana Tech                   7.55                     7.33 7.5
Virginia                   8.40                     7.30 4.5
Arizona State                   7.18                     7.25 5
South Florida                   7.16                     7.23 8.5
North Carolina                   7.46                     7.22 8.5
Air Force                   6.94                     7.15 8
Stanford                   6.80                     7.10 8.5
Georgia Southern                   6.96                     7.10 8
Texas                   6.31                     7.09 6.5
Old Dominion                   6.90                     7.06 5
Pitt                   6.95                     7.03 7
Nebraska                   6.88                     6.96 8.5
Virginia Tech                   6.84                     6.95 6.5
Utah                   6.85                     6.95 7.5
Central Michigan                   6.86                     6.91 7
Central Florida                   6.79                     6.90 5
Tulane                   7.60                     6.89 3.5
Baylor                   6.92                     6.86 9.5
Navy                   6.78                     6.78 6.5
Auburn                   7.13                     6.78 6.5
Western Michigan                   5.87                     6.78 8.5
Nevada                   6.49                     6.67 6.5
Memphis                   6.53                     6.58 6.5
Wisconsin                   5.42                     6.46 7
South Alabama                   5.33                     6.39 3
Rice                   6.58                     6.36 6
Arkansas                   6.09                     6.36 7.5
West Virginia                   5.81                     6.35 6.5
BYU                   5.41                     6.35 8
Ball State                   5.27                     6.35 4.5
Northwestern                   7.29                     6.29 6.5
Akron                   6.18                     6.28 5
Maryland                   6.13                     6.19 4.5
Ole Miss                   6.36                     6.19 8.5
Marshall                   6.15                     6.14 8.5
Georgia Tech                   5.77                     6.14 6.5
Bowling Green                   6.06                     6.06 6.5
North Carolina State                   5.94                     6.03 6
Louisville                   5.78                     6.01 9
Kansas State                   6.19                     5.99 5.5
Indiana                   5.58                     5.92 4.5
Middle Tennessee                   5.61                     5.91 7.5
UTEP                   5.56                     5.87 5
Temple                   6.92                     5.84 8.5
Colorado State                   6.50                     5.84 5.5
Arizona                   6.53                     5.83 6
Mississippi State                   6.82                     5.74 6.5
South Carolina                   4.96                     5.72 5
Texas State                   4.52                     5.70 3
Miami FL                   5.84                     5.70 6.5
Utah State                   5.52                     5.66 6.5
Hawaii                   6.36                     5.66 2.5
Ohio                   6.50                     5.64 7.5
San Jose State                   6.34                     5.60 5
New Mexico                   5.26                     5.51 7
East Carolina                   5.33                     5.48 5.5
Duke                   5.50                     5.47 5.5
Missouri                   6.20                     5.47 5.5
Minnesota                   4.68                     5.43 6
Louisiana-Lafayette                   5.88                     5.36 6.5
Tulsa                   4.46                     5.13 6.5
Florida Atlantic                   5.46                     5.09 4.5
Washington State                   6.10                     5.05 7.5
Charlotte                   5.23                     5.03 2.5
Rutgers                   5.20                     4.94 4.5
Boston College                   5.17                     4.88 6.5
Wake Forest                   4.25                     4.85 5.5
UTSA                   4.50                     4.83 4
Buffalo                   6.12                     4.83 5.5
Idaho                   4.60                     4.82 3.5
UNLV                   4.47                     4.81 5.5
Illinois                   4.65                     4.78 4.5
Wyoming                   3.72                     4.77 3.5
Texas Tech                   4.61                     4.74 7
Kent State                   4.58                     4.57 4.5
Iowa State                   5.56                     4.50 3.5
Troy                   4.26                     4.49 6
Colorado                   3.72                     4.26 4.5
Kentucky                   4.94                     4.24 5
Syracuse                   4.21                     4.23 4
SMU                   3.34                     4.18 3.5
Georgia State                   4.94                     4.17 4.5
Army West Point                   3.01                     4.15 4.5
Louisiana-Monroe                   3.65                     4.03 3.5
Florida International                   4.27                     3.96 6.5
Fresno State                   4.03                     3.89 3.5
Connecticut                   3.58                     3.87 5
Oregon State                   4.47                     3.83 3.5
Vanderbilt                   4.45                     3.80 5
Purdue                   3.57                     3.71 4.5
Eastern Michigan                   3.36                     3.63 3
California                   3.01                     3.56 4
Miami OH                   3.51                     3.38 3.5
New Mexico State                   3.67                     3.21 3
Massachusetts                   3.01                     3.01 2.5
North Texas                   3.73                     2.95 2
Kansas                   2.33                     2.74 1.5
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