College Basketball Bracket 3/11/16

Bracket for games through 3/10/16; bracket seeding for use in the Bracket Matrix.

Some shifting in seeds is due to an imbalance in scheduling i.e. a team that won moved up and a team that didn’t play moved down. This will correct itself over the next 3 days.

The battle for 1 seeds is unchanged; still looks like Big 12, ACC, Big East, and Michigan St or a 2nd bid to one of the first three or an outside chance for the PAC12.

The bubble is changing daily. I’ll try to address all relevant situations.

American: The UConn/Cincinnati game this afternoon is a de facto play-in game; the loser is very likely to be left out of the field. Right now I only have 1 team in from the AAC, but it’ll likely end up with two bids as Temple, Tulsa, and Houston are all still playing and barely below the Next Four Out.

A10: St Bonaventure, George Washington and VCU are all in must-win games today to lock up their bids. Dayton and St Joe’s should be safely in regardless of today’s outcomes.

ACC: Georgia Tech is barely clinging to a bid today, but will likely be passed over by Sunday. All other teams who are in will stay in, and teams who are out will stay out.

Big East: No teams on the bubble. Butler might be close, but should still avoid the First Four.

Big Ten: Michigan is the last team in for the moment, but will absolutely need a win today to stay in. Ohio St can play their way in, but may need to reach the finals to secure an at-large bid. Wisconsin’s loss to Nebraska dropped them a bit, but they’re safely in the field.

Big12: Texas Tech might just hang on to their spot, though they really need all of the favorites to keep winning this weekend to stay in the field.

PAC12: I have USC barely out, and with no games left to move up they must rely on others falling behind them. My data seems to be a pessimistic outlier on the Trojans, but looking at their resume it’s hard to justify that they definitely should be in.

SEC: This is a tough conference to figure out. I think Vanderbilt and South Carolina are safely in. Florida really needs to win today to feel safe. Georgia and Alabama are close, but each probably needs to get to the finals to earn an at-large bid, and even then it’s not a certainty. LSU needs the autobid to get in.

Seed Team Conference
1 Kansas Big 12
1 Villanova Big East
1 Virginia Atlantic Coast
1 Xavier Big East
2 Miami FL Atlantic Coast
2 North Carolina Atlantic Coast
2 Oregon Pacific-12
2 Oklahoma Big 12
3 Michigan St Big Ten
3 Utah Pacific-12
3 West Virginia Big 12
3 Kentucky Southeastern
4 Indiana Big Ten
4 Texas A&M Southeastern
4 Arizona Pacific-12
4 Purdue Big Ten
5 Duke Atlantic Coast
5 California Pacific-12
5 Maryland Big Ten
5 Iowa Big Ten
6 Dayton Atlantic 10
6 Texas Big 12
6 Iowa St Big 12
6 Seton Hall Big East
7 South Carolina Southeastern
7 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast
7 Providence Big East
7 Baylor Big 12
8 Wisconsin Big Ten
8 St Joseph’s PA Atlantic 10
8 Butler Big East
8 Wichita St Missouri Valley
9 Colorado Pacific-12
9 Pittsburgh Atlantic Coast
9 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10
9 Oregon St Pacific-12
10 Vanderbilt Southeastern
10 G Washington Atlantic 10
10 San Diego St Mountain West
10 Gonzaga West Coast
11 Florida Southeastern
11 VA Commonwealth Atlantic 10
11 Georgia Tech Atlantic Coast
11 Texas Tech Big 12
11 Cincinnati American
12 Michigan Big Ten
12 Akron Mid-American
12 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley
12 S Dakota St Summit
12 Chattanooga Southern
13 Ark Little Rock Sun Belt
13 UNC Wilmington Colonial
13 Hawaii Big West
13 UAB Conference USA
14 WI Green Bay Horizon
14 Yale Ivy
14 SF Austin Southland
14 New Mexico St WAC
15 Stony Brook America East
15 Weber St Big Sky
15 Iona MAAC
15 UNC Asheville Big South
16 FL Gulf Coast Atlantic Sun
16 Hampton MEAC
16 TX Southern SWAC
16 Austin Peay Ohio Valley
16 F Dickinson Northeast
16 Holy Cross Patriot
Last Four In
VA Commonwealth Atlantic 10
Georgia Tech Atlantic Coast
Texas Tech Big 12
Michigan Big Ten
First Four Out
Georgia Southeastern
USC Pacific-12
Connecticut American
Ohio St Big Ten
Next Four Out
Alabama Southeastern
St Mary’s CA West Coast
Florida St Atlantic Coast
Syracuse Atlantic Coast

 

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