College Basketball Bracket 3/2/16

March is here! I’ll be updating more frequently and including some written analysis of what’s going on in my rankings the rest of the way. Bracket for games through 3/1/16; bracket seeding for use in the Bracket Matrix.

Outliers

Seton Hall: My formulas have them as a 4 seed, though nobody else in the matrix has them above a 6. They have a couple big wins recently, including one over a highly rated Xavier team, and haven’t lost since February 10. They’ll need to finish strong for other brackets to match my high seeding for Seton Hall, otherwise some losses would drop them back in my bracket.

USC: Not only do I not have the Trojans in the field, they aren’t close to getting in; my formulas have them as the 12th team out. This is a team that has yet to reach 20 wins, is at .500 in an average high major conference, and most notably, has lost 5 of their last 6 games. I have no idea why nearly everyone in the matrix has this team comfortably in the field. Their best win is…Arizona, at home, by 2, in 4OT. Their game tonight with Oregon St is hugely important to both; the loser is likely to be on the wrong side of the bubble tomorrow.

Seed Team Conference
1 Villanova Big East
1 Kansas Big 12
1 Xavier Big East
1 Virginia Atlantic Coast
2 Miami FL Atlantic Coast
2 Michigan St Big Ten
2 Oklahoma Big 12
2 North Carolina Atlantic Coast
3 Oregon Pacific-12
3 Utah Pacific-12
3 Indiana Big Ten
3 Duke Atlantic Coast
4 Kentucky Southeastern
4 Texas A&M Southeastern
4 Seton Hall Big East
4 West Virginia Big 12
5 Purdue Big Ten
5 Wisconsin Big Ten
5 California Pacific-12
5 Maryland Big Ten
6 Texas Big 12
6 Iowa St Big 12
6 St Joseph’s PA Atlantic 10
6 Arizona Pacific-12
7 South Carolina Southeastern
7 Iowa Big Ten
7 Dayton Atlantic 10
7 Baylor Big 12
8 Butler Big East
8 Providence Big East
8 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast
8 Vanderbilt Southeastern
9 Colorado Pacific-12
9 Pittsburgh Atlantic Coast
9 Wichita St Missouri Valley
9 Texas Tech Big 12
10 Connecticut American
10 G Washington Atlantic 10
10 Cincinnati American
10 VA Commonwealth Atlantic 10
11 Oregon St Pacific-12
11 Syracuse Atlantic Coast
11 Tulsa American
11 Alabama Southeastern
11 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10
12 San Diego St Mountain West
12 St Mary’s CA West Coast
12 Valparaiso Horizon
12 Akron Mid-American
12 Ark Little Rock Sun Belt
13 Hawaii Big West
13 S Dakota St Summit
13 Hofstra Colonial
13 UAB Conference USA
14 Chattanooga Southern
14 Monmouth NJ MAAC
14 Princeton Ivy
14 SF Austin Southland
15 New Mexico St WAC
15 Stony Brook America East
15 Weber St Big Sky
15 Belmont Ohio Valley
16 Winthrop Big South
16 North Florida Atlantic Sun
16 TX Southern SWAC
16 Hampton MEAC
16 Wagner Northeast
16 Bucknell Patriot
Last Four In
Syracuse
Tulsa
Alabama
St Bonaventure
First Four Out
Temple
Creighton
Michigan
Ohio St
Next Four Out
Marquette
Houston
LSU
Florida

 

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