Final regular season top 25:
I feel confident that my formula picked the CFP participants correctly, but the order by the committee will likely be different. Alabama maybe gets the top spot after Clemson struggled with UNC, but doubtful Clemson would drop two spots.
Other New Year’s Six participants would be the rest of the top 11 and Houston. My formula would have the following match-ups:
CFP Orange: Alabama vs Michigan St
CFP Cotton: Oklahoma vs Clemson
Rose: Stanford vs Ohio St
Fiesta: Iowa vs Houston
Sugar: Oregon vs Ole Miss
Peach: TCU vs Northwestern
I doubt any of these match-ups are picked, but would make for some great games.