Rankings updated thru Week 10 (11/7/2015):
Alabama retains the top spot, because obviously. Michigan State drops to 10 after a close game finally doesn’t go their way. Clemson and Stanford trade places.
Highlights from Week 10:
ACC: Clemson handles their biggest remaining challenge of the regular season and should cruise to the ACC CG. Notre Dame stays in the mix and will have a chance to move up with a win at Stanford in a few weeks. North Carolina is quietly climbing the ranks; the CFP needs to throw them a bone this week after their omission from the top 25 last week. Even if they win out and knock off Clemson to win the ACC, they probably have too far to climb to make the top 4.
B1G: Nebraska pulls off a stunning come from behind victory over previously unbeaten Michigan State, likely ending their playoff chances. MSU still controls their destiny in the B1G East, but a trip to Columbus is looming. Iowa and Ohio State remain unbeaten, and Michigan’s first big out-of-their-hands hurdle has been cleared with MSU earning one of two necessary losses for Michigan to take the division lead on them.
XII: Oklahoma State makes a statement by hammering TCU and ending the Frogs’ playoff hopes. Baylor, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State will be in a last-man-standing race to the finish.
PAC12: My formula loves Stanford, the CFP…not so much. Utah and Stanford both need to keep winning to give the PAC12 champ a shot at the playoff.
SEC: Alabama flexes its muscle on LSU, making a statement that they do belong in the top 4 despite their loss to Ole Miss. My formula agreed last week, and reaffirmed its stance this week keeping them atop the rankings. Florida clinches the SEC East by barely slipping past a terrible Vanderbilt. It just feels like the Gators are going to drop another, but it probably won’t be until Florida State comes to town or their title bout with Alabama.
Elsewhere: Memphis ended their hopes with a whimper, getting clobbered at home by Navy. Houston is the lone hope for the Group of 5, but their strength of schedule has taken some big hits the past two weeks with both Temple and Memphis dropping games.
Prediction for new CFP top 4: Clemson, Alabama, Ohio State, Notre Dame. I’ll post a comparison of polls, updated playoff scenarios, and a Week 11 preview after the new rankings are released Tuesday.