Tournament Preview

It has been a lot of fun participating in the Bracket Matrix for the first time, even though my formula didn’t do so great compared to everyone else (though I did beat the Yahoo Sports guy!). I’m currently testing out my formula’s ability to predict winners against the spread, and the metric I’m using has produced the following as the “safest” picks to cover:

Kansas -10.5 over New Mexico St

Hampton +34.5 over Kentucky (personally I would never touch a spread this big, but that’s what the metric says to do)

St John’s +3.5 over San Diego St

VCU +4 over Ohio St

Texas Southern +23.5 over Arizona

Notre Dame -11.5 over Northeastern

North Dakota St +18 over Gonzaga

LSU +2 over NC State

Georgia +5.5 over Michigan St

Louisville -8 over UC Irvine

Beyond the first 6 games listed the results are not as statistically significant, but I wanted to include a large enough sample size to produce tangible results. I’ll check back in after these 10 games have been played to share results.

**Please do not put much stock in these picks; I personally would not put any money on any of these, as I have yet to test the data (this is the test of the data!). I am only putting these out there as a measure of accountability.

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FINAL BoW Bracket

Final update for Bracket Matrix

Seed Team Conference
1 Kentucky Southeastern
1 Wisconsin Big Ten
1 Villanova Big East
1 Duke Atlantic Coast
2 Arizona Pacific-12
2 Virginia Atlantic Coast
2 Kansas Big 12
2 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast
3 Iowa St Big 12
3 Gonzaga West Coast
3 North Carolina Atlantic Coast
3 Maryland Big Ten
4 Oklahoma Big 12
4 Baylor Big 12
4 Louisville Atlantic Coast
4 Michigan St Big Ten
5 Arkansas Southeastern
5 SMU American
5 Providence Big East
5 West Virginia Big 12
6 Wichita St Missouri Valley
6 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley
6 Utah Pacific-12
6 VA Commonwealth Atlantic 10
7 Butler Big East
7 Georgetown Big East
7 Oregon Pacific-12
7 Iowa Big Ten
8 LSU Southeastern
8 NC State Atlantic Coast
8 Xavier Big East
8 Dayton Atlantic 10
9 Georgia Southeastern
9 St John’s Big East
9 San Diego St Mountain West
9 Oklahoma St Big 12
10 Ohio St Big Ten
10 Cincinnati American
10 Miami FL Atlantic Coast
10 Purdue Big Ten
11 Mississippi Southeastern
11 Texas Big 12
11 Temple American
11 BYU West Coast
11 Davidson Atlantic 10
12 Boise St Mountain West
12 Buffalo Mid-American
12 Wyoming Mountain West
12 Valparaiso Horizon
12 SF Austin Southland
13 Wofford Southern
13 Georgia St Sun Belt
13 UAB Conference USA
13 E Washington Big Sky
14 Harvard Ivy
14 Northeastern Colonial
14 Coastal Car Big South
14 New Mexico St WAC
15 North Florida Atlantic Sun
15 Belmont Ohio Valley
15 N Dakota St Summit
15 UC Irvine Big West
16 TX Southern SWAC
16 Albany NY America East
16 Manhattan MAAC
16 Lafayette Patriot
16 Robert Morris Northeast
16 Hampton MEAC

BoW Bracket, games thru 3/14

Updated for Bracket Matrix. I will have one more update before Selection Sunday begins. UConn will be in if they win today, otherwise will be out. My last four in are Temple, BYU, Davidson, and Boise St. Michigan St could move up a seed line with a win today, and Wisconsin will remain a 1 seed.

Seed Team Conference
1 Kentucky Southeastern
1 Villanova Big East
1 Duke Atlantic Coast
1 Wisconsin Big Ten
2 Arizona Pacific-12
2 Virginia Atlantic Coast
2 Kansas Big 12
2 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast
3 Iowa St Big 12
3 Gonzaga West Coast
3 North Carolina Atlantic Coast
3 Maryland Big Ten
4 Oklahoma Big 12
4 Baylor Big 12
4 Michigan St Big Ten
4 Louisville Atlantic Coast
5 Arkansas Southeastern
5 Providence Big East
5 SMU American
5 West Virginia Big 12
6 Wichita St Missouri Valley
6 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley
6 Utah Pacific-12
6 VA Commonwealth Atlantic 10
7 Butler Big East
7 Georgetown Big East
7 Oregon Pacific-12
7 Iowa Big Ten
8 LSU Southeastern
8 NC State Atlantic Coast
8 Xavier Big East
8 Dayton Atlantic 10
9 Georgia Southeastern
9 St John’s Big East
9 San Diego St Mountain West
9 Oklahoma St Big 12
10 Ohio St Big Ten
10 Cincinnati American
10 Miami FL Atlantic Coast
10 Purdue Big Ten
11 Mississippi Southeastern
11 Texas Big 12
11 Temple American
11 BYU West Coast
11 Davidson Atlantic 10
12 Boise St Mountain West
12 Buffalo Mid-American
12 Wyoming Mountain West
12 Valparaiso Horizon
12 SF Austin Southland
13 Wofford Southern
13 Georgia St Sun Belt
13 UAB Conference USA
13 E Washington Big Sky
14 Harvard Ivy
14 Northeastern Colonial
14 Coastal Car Big South
14 New Mexico St WAC
15 North Florida Atlantic Sun
15 Belmont Ohio Valley
15 N Dakota St Summit
15 UC Irvine Big West
16 TX Southern SWAC
16 Albany NY America East
16 Manhattan MAAC
16 Lafayette Patriot
16 Robert Morris Northeast
16 Hampton MEAC

BoW Bracket, games thru 3/12

Updated for Bracket Matrix

Seed Team Conference
1 Kentucky Southeastern
1 Duke Atlantic Coast
1 Villanova Big East
1 Wisconsin Big Ten
2 Virginia Atlantic Coast
2 Arizona Pacific-12
2 Kansas Big 12
2 Gonzaga West Coast
3 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast
3 Iowa St Big 12
3 Oklahoma Big 12
3 Baylor Big 12
4 North Carolina Atlantic Coast
4 Maryland Big Ten
4 Louisville Atlantic Coast
4 Providence Big East
5 Utah Pacific-12
5 Wichita St Missouri Valley
5 West Virginia Big 12
5 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley
6 Butler Big East
6 Georgetown Big East
6 Arkansas Southeastern
6 Michigan St Big Ten
7 Iowa Big Ten
7 LSU Southeastern
7 SMU American
7 NC State Atlantic Coast
8 Oregon Pacific-12
8 St John’s Big East
8 VA Commonwealth Atlantic 10
8 Ohio St Big Ten
9 Oklahoma St Big 12
9 Xavier Big East
9 Georgia Southeastern
9 San Diego St Mountain West
10 Cincinnati American
10 Miami FL Atlantic Coast
10 Dayton Atlantic 10
10 Texas Big 12
11 Mississippi Southeastern
11 BYU West Coast
11 Purdue Big Ten
11 Boise St Mountain West
11 Colorado St Mountain West
12 Temple American
12 Davidson Atlantic 10
12 Buffalo Mid-American
12 Valparaiso Horizon
12 Louisiana Tech Conference USA
13 SF Austin Southland
13 Wofford Southern
13 Yale Ivy
13 UC Davis Big West
14 Georgia St Sun Belt
14 E Washington Big Sky
14 Northeastern Colonial
14 NC Central MEAC
15 Coastal Car Big South
15 North Florida Atlantic Sun
15 New Mexico St WAC
15 Belmont Ohio Valley
16 Stony Brook America East
16 N Dakota St Summit
16 TX Southern SWAC
16 Manhattan MAAC
16 Lafayette Patriot
16 Robert Morris Northeast

BoW Bracket, games thru 3/11

Updated for Bracket Matrix

Seed Team Conference
1 Kentucky Southeastern
1 Duke Atlantic Coast
1 Wisconsin Big Ten
1 Villanova Big East
2 Virginia Atlantic Coast
2 Arizona Pacific-12
2 Kansas Big 12
2 Gonzaga West Coast
3 Iowa St Big 12
3 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast
3 Oklahoma Big 12
3 Louisville Atlantic Coast
4 Maryland Big Ten
4 Baylor Big 12
4 North Carolina Atlantic Coast
4 West Virginia Big 12
5 Wichita St Missouri Valley
5 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley
5 Butler Big East
5 Utah Pacific-12
6 Providence Big East
6 Arkansas Southeastern
6 Michigan St Big Ten
6 Iowa Big Ten
7 Georgetown Big East
7 LSU Southeastern
7 NC State Atlantic Coast
7 SMU American
8 St John’s Big East
8 Oklahoma St Big 12
8 Oregon Pacific-12
8 VA Commonwealth Atlantic 10
9 Georgia Southeastern
9 Miami FL Atlantic Coast
9 Dayton Atlantic 10
9 Cincinnati American
10 Ohio St Big Ten
10 Texas Big 12
10 Mississippi Southeastern
10 BYU West Coast
11 San Diego St Mountain West
11 Xavier Big East
11 Purdue Big Ten
11 Boise St Mountain West
11 Davidson Atlantic 10
12 Temple American
12 Colorado St Mountain West
12 Buffalo Mid-American
12 Old Dominion Conference USA
12 Valparaiso Horizon
13 SF Austin Southland
13 Wofford Southern
13 Yale Ivy
13 Georgia St Sun Belt
14 UC Davis Big West
14 Northeastern Colonial
14 E Washington Big Sky
14 NC Central MEAC
15 North Florida Atlantic Sun
15 Coastal Car Big South
15 Belmont Ohio Valley
15 New Mexico St WAC
16 Stony Brook America East
16 N Dakota St Summit
16 TX Southern SWAC
16 Manhattan MAAC
16 Lafayette Patriot
16 Robert Morris Northeast

BoW Bracket, games thru 3/10

Updated for Bracket Matrix

Seed Team Conference
1 Kentucky Southeastern
1 Duke Atlantic Coast
1 Wisconsin Big Ten
1 Villanova Big East
2 Virginia Atlantic Coast
2 Arizona Pacific-12
2 Kansas Big 12
2 Gonzaga West Coast
3 Iowa St Big 12
3 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast
3 Oklahoma Big 12
3 Maryland Big Ten
4 Louisville Atlantic Coast
4 Baylor Big 12
4 Wichita St Missouri Valley
4 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley
5 West Virginia Big 12
5 North Carolina Atlantic Coast
5 Butler Big East
5 Utah Pacific-12
6 Providence Big East
6 Arkansas Southeastern
6 Michigan St Big Ten
6 Iowa Big Ten
7 LSU Southeastern
7 Georgetown Big East
7 SMU American
7 NC State Atlantic Coast
8 St John’s Big East
8 Oklahoma St Big 12
8 VA Commonwealth Atlantic 10
8 Oregon Pacific-12
9 Georgia Southeastern
9 Dayton Atlantic 10
9 Cincinnati American
9 Ohio St Big Ten
10 Miami FL Atlantic Coast
10 BYU West Coast
10 Mississippi Southeastern
10 San Diego St Mountain West
11 Xavier Big East
11 Texas Big 12
11 Purdue Big Ten
11 Temple American
11 Davidson Atlantic 10
12 Boise St Mountain West
12 Colorado St Mountain West
12 Buffalo Mid-American
12 Old Dominion Conference USA
12 Valparaiso Horizon
13 SF Austin Southland
13 Wofford Southern
13 Yale Ivy
13 Georgia St Sun Belt
14 UC Davis Big West
14 E Washington Big Sky
14 Northeastern Colonial
14 NC Central MEAC
15 North Florida Atlantic Sun
15 New Mexico St WAC
15 Coastal Car Big South
15 Belmont Ohio Valley
16 Stony Brook America East
16 N Dakota St Summit
16 TX Southern SWAC
16 Manhattan MAAC
16 Lafayette Patriot
16 Robert Morris Northeast

BoW Bracket, games thru 3/9

Updated for Bracket Matrix

Seed Team Conference
1 Kentucky Southeastern
1 Duke Atlantic Coast
1 Wisconsin Big Ten
1 Villanova Big East
2 Virginia Atlantic Coast
2 Arizona Pacific-12
2 Kansas Big 12
2 Gonzaga West Coast
3 Iowa St Big 12
3 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast
3 Oklahoma Big 12
3 Maryland Big Ten
4 Louisville Atlantic Coast
4 Baylor Big 12
4 Wichita St Missouri Valley
4 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley
5 West Virginia Big 12
5 North Carolina Atlantic Coast
5 Butler Big East
5 Utah Pacific-12
6 Providence Big East
6 Arkansas Southeastern
6 Michigan St Big Ten
6 Iowa Big Ten
7 LSU Southeastern
7 Georgetown Big East
7 SMU American
7 St John’s Big East
8 NC State Atlantic Coast
8 Oklahoma St Big 12
8 VA Commonwealth Atlantic 10
8 Oregon Pacific-12
9 Georgia Southeastern
9 Cincinnati American
9 Dayton Atlantic 10
9 Ohio St Big Ten
10 BYU West Coast
10 Mississippi Southeastern
10 San Diego St Mountain West
10 Miami FL Atlantic Coast
11 Xavier Big East
11 Texas Big 12
11 Purdue Big Ten
11 Temple American
11 Davidson Atlantic 10
12 Boise St Mountain West
12 Colorado St Mountain West
12 Buffalo Mid-American
12 Old Dominion Conference USA
12 WI Green Bay Horizon
13 SF Austin Southland
13 Wofford Southern
13 Yale Ivy
13 Georgia St Sun Belt
14 UC Davis Big West
14 S Dakota St Summit
14 E Washington Big Sky
14 Northeastern Colonial
15 NC Central MEAC
15 North Florida Atlantic Sun
15 New Mexico St WAC
15 Coastal Car Big South
16 Belmont Ohio Valley
16 Stony Brook America East
16 TX Southern SWAC
16 St Francis NY Northeast
16 Manhattan MAAC
16 Lafayette Patriot