I waited until after the Army/Navy game to post final standings, since that game impacted one team in particular that made the playoffs. Ohio State’s win over Navy gained in value ever so slightly with that last win, and it was enough to jump them into 3rd place. The final index is included below. I’m not sure how useful this will be as a predictor of bowl game winners, but I am tracking those results and will post my findings at the conclusion of bowl season. Note that the committee selected the same top 4 as my index (also note that I had the final top 4 selected in week 14), and my index had the all same teams in the top 6 as the committee (though a different order). UPDATE: The bowl prediction results were not much better than a coin flip; only 22 of 39 games were picked correctly using the index ratings. However, the games where the index rating gaps were widest were much more likely to be picked correctly than small index gaps, as was reflected in the confidence pool pick ’em that I used to track results. I will likely make some tweaks to the formula in the off-season, but the first version is promising for the future.
#1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | #5 | #6 | #7 | #8 | #9 | #10 | |
Final | Oregon | Florida State | Ohio State | Alabama | Texas Christian | Baylor | Georgia Tech | Michigan State | Arizona | Wisconsin |
Week15 | Oregon | Florida State | Alabama | Ohio State | Texas Christian | Baylor | Georgia Tech | Michigan State | Arizona | Wisconsin |
Week14 | Oregon | Ohio State | Florida State | Alabama | Texas Christian | UCLA | Georgia Tech | Arizona | Baylor | Wisconsin |
Week13 | Oregon | Ohio State | UCLA | Florida State | Baylor | Georgia | Alabama | Arizona State | Wisconsin | Texas Christian |
Week12 | Oregon | Ohio State | Florida State | Georgia | Alabama | Baylor | UCLA | Texas Christian | Arizona State | Georgia Tech |
Week11 | Oregon | Baylor | UCLA | Florida State | Texas Christian | Arizona State | Ohio State | Alabama | Mississippi State | Georgia |
Week10 | Oregon | Florida State | Mississippi State | Auburn | Texas Christian | Arizona State | UCLA | Ohio State | Oklahoma | Alabama |
Week9 | Oregon | Mississippi State | Marshall | Mississippi | Alabama | Florida State | Auburn | Michigan State | Arizona State | Louisiana State |
Week8 | Marshall | Mississippi | Florida State | Oregon | Mississippi State | Baylor | Alabama | Georgia | Ohio State | Michigan State |
Week7 | Mississippi State | Mississippi | Marshall | Baylor | Auburn | Oklahoma | Florida State | Texas A&M | Oregon | Georgia |
Week6 | Baylor | Texas A&M | Auburn | UCLA | Ohio State | Mississippi State | Mississippi | Marshall | Oklahoma | Florida State |
Week5 | Texas A&M | Baylor | Nebraska | Oklahoma | UCLA | Brigham Young | Alabama | Mississippi | Auburn | Texas Christian |
Week4 | Texas A&M | Oklahoma | Alabama | Baylor | Brigham Young | Mississippi State | Arkansas | Mississippi | Duke | Auburn |
Week3 | Texas A&M | Baylor | Mississippi | Oklahoma | Brigham Young | Pittsburgh | Alabama | Notre Dame | Mississippi State | Arizona State |
Week2 | Brigham Young | Texas A&M | Oklahoma | Mississippi | Baylor | Auburn | Notre Dame | Arizona State | Pittsburgh | Temple |
Week1 | Temple | Texas A&M | Mississippi State | Texas State | Nebraska | Memphis | Pittsburgh | Arizona | Baylor | Middle Tennessee |